Important investment market development: Prediction markets will grow to $1 trillion by 2030, Bernstein estimates. Analysis for investors across forex, equities, and alternative assets.
What You Need to Know
Here are the key details from this alert:
- Prediction market volumes are booming in 2026, on pace to more than quadruple this year alone and reach an estimated $1 trillion in the next four years, according to Bernstein
- Volumes have already surged in the first few months of this year, the investment bank wrote in a report Tuesday, with Kalshi and Polymarket, the two largest platforms, seeing about $60 billion in mark
- Growth rates for the platforms rival the artificial intelligence boom, according to Bank of America
- Analyst Julie Hoover in a note last week called Kalshi one of the “fastest growing non-AI companies” in the U
- Weekly trading volume on Kalshi — which controls more than 90% of the U
- prediction market — has surged to more than $3 billion today from about $100 million a year ago, she wrote
- Source: Prediction markets will grow to $1 trillion by 2030, Bernstein estimates
Investment Implications
Macro developments like this have ripple effects across asset classes. Diversified investors should review their exposure to correlated assets.
Research Resources
For hedge fund strategies, see TopHedgeFunds.net. For stock analysis, visit TheInvestingKing.com.
Frequently Asked Questions
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Published by Tophedgefunds on April 15, 2026. Source: Prediction markets will grow to $1 trillion by 2030, Bernste
